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Business · Elon Musk

Tesla counts upfront FSD buyers as active subs

A new shareholder letter reveals how Tesla inflates its software metrics to align with executive compensation targets.

By Fatou Mitchell ·

Illustration for: Tesla counts upfront FSD buyers as active subs
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The auto sector is increasingly defining success through software metrics that may not reflect recurring revenue. Tesla disclosed a new count for its driver assistance program in its latest quarterly report.

The company reported 1.74 million active Full Self-Driving subscriptions as of the end of the third quarter. This figure represents a 67 percent increase compared to the same period last year. The number is significant because it ties directly to the performance targets set for the chief executive officer.

A footnote in the Q3 2026 shareholder letter clarifies the counting method. The metric includes both customers who pay a monthly fee and those who purchased the software with an upfront payment. This definition was adopted to match the terms of the 2025 CEO Performance Award. Under this structure, owners who bought the software years ago still count as active subscribers.

This accounting choice is critical for market valuation and executive pay. One of the milestones Elon Musk must achieve to earn his full compensation package is reaching ten million active subscriptions. By including one-time buyers, the company boosts its total count. However, hundreds of thousands of these individuals were originally sold the promise of unsupervised self-driving, a capability the company has not yet delivered.

Tesla stopped selling the software as a one-time purchase on February 14, 2026. New customers in the US now pay a monthly fee of $99. Those who paid upfront before that date, with prices reaching $15,000, remain in the active count as long as their vehicles are in operation. The only exclusion from the total is free trials. The company did not specify how many of the 1.74 million currently pay the monthly fee.

The letter also highlights a 75 percent attach rate for new deliveries in North America during the quarter. Tesla claims this is a nearly twenty percentage point increase from the previous period. The company believes the software is driving demand in available markets. However, the letter does not define whether this rate includes introductory offers or how many of those buyers continue paying after the initial months.

Musk’s compensation package consists of twelve tranches, each requiring specific market cap and operational milestones. The operational goals include delivering 20 million vehicles, achieving ten million active subscriptions, and deploying one million Optimus robots. As of June 30, Tesla considered only the delivery milestone probable. The company added 260,000 net subscriptions in the third quarter, its best performance yet.

At that quarterly pace, it would take roughly eight years to reach the ten million target. Over the last twelve months, the growth rate was closer to 700,000 per year, which would extend the timeline to about twelve years. The award remains valid until 2035. Investors are left to weigh the momentum of the new subscription model against the legacy of upfront purchases.

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